2016 Deloitte Oil & Gas Conference Houston, TX September 21, 2016 www.plainsallamerican.com NYSE: PAA & PAGP
PAA: Strong Presence In All Major U.S. And Canadian Crude Oil Production Areas And Substantially All Inland And Coastal Crude Oil Terminal / Interchange Locations
Enterprise value +/- $30 billion The most integrated U.S. crude oil pipeline & terminal system Both supply push & demand pull Each day PAA: Transports Crude Oil & NGLs: Pipeline > 4.6 mmb/d Truck, barge & rail ~0.5 mmb Purchases > 1.0 mmb/d of crude oil & NGL
Note: Map includes 3rd party assets and only most significant PAA assets. Certain PAA assets reflected above are announced or under construction, but not yet in service.
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Crude Oil Midstream Cycle: Many Elements Common To A Typical Movie Script
Great need/opportunity Good guys respond; successful results Fun and games; everyone wins (false victory) Encounter unexpected challenges; things go south (false defeat) Doing the right things, hard work and perseverance solve the problems Bad guys defeated Community is saved …but, not everyone survives Happy ending….. ….teaser showing highlights of the next episode (cycle) www.plainsallamerican.com NYSE: PAA & PAGP
Horizontal Drilling + Hydraulic Fracturing + Shale = U.S. Renaissance in Crude Oil Production U.S. Lower 48 Onshore Crude Oil Production 10,000 9,000
1,800
L48 onshore oil production increased 4.5 mmb/d (150%)
8,000 9,000 7,000
1,600 1,400
8,000 6,000
1,200
5,000
1,000
7,000 4,000
800
6,000 3,000
600
2,000
400
5,000 200
1,000
0
4,000 0 1987 1987
1988 1988
1989 1989
1990 1990
1991
1992 1992
1993 1993
1994 1994
1995 1995
1996 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 1996 1997 1997 1998 1998 1999 1999 2000 2000 2001 2001 2002 2002 2003 200320042004200520052006200620072007
Production exceeded or strained takeaway capacity in many regions. Source: Production data (EIA)
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Midstream Sector has Generally “Over-solved” The Problem (exacerbated by recent/ongoing downcycle) Sector Response: From 2010 - 2019, ~50 major crude oil pipeline projects have been completed or are pending/under construction ~$37 billion capital investment ~12 mmb/d of supply push/demand pull capacity
Many projects supported by volumetric commitments; in several cases: Commitments materially less than full capacity Shippers intentionally required development of excess capacity Result = Long takeaway capacity & Short production volumes in many regions.
Consequences: Crude oil takeaway capacity exceeds near-term needs in all of the major U.S. oil producing basins Permian expected to be first to absorb excess capacity
Adverse impact to midstream companies and shippers compounded by: Impact of low prices on production trends Excess commitments Intense competition for the marginal barrel to meet excess commitments www.plainsallamerican.com NYSE: PAA & PAGP
Note: EIA monthly data as of May 2016
Looking Forward – Very Positive Outlook: Extensive Resource Base; Proven Technology & Economics A Question Of “When” The Resource Gets Developed, Not “If”
-- Ring size is illustrative of scope of YE 2015 activity levels --
Note: Map includes 3rd party assets and only most significant PAA assets. Certain PAA assets reflected above are announced or under construction, but not yet in service.
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Selected Major US Resource Plays
(1)
~Area Acreage (millions)
~HZ Wells Drilled (’09-’15)
Estimate # of Undrilled Locations
~Drilling Years
15-16
~9,500
>210,000
~75 Yrs
Eagle Ford
7
~16,500
>69,000
~20 Yrs
Williston
9
~10,000
>26,000
~15 Yrs
DJ Basin
4
~4,000
>22,000
~17 Yrs
Permian
Recap of North American Crude Oil Midstream Outlook Near-Term Expectations:
Continuation of a competitive environment for new volumes Midstream capital projects will likely be limited to:
Completion of existing projects Debottlenecking systems Developing and connecting gathering systems (regional buildout) Incremental tankage for quality segregation / market-balancing purposes
Future cash flow growth less capital intensive; primarily driven by Increased utilization & optimization of existing assets
Intermediate / Long-Term Expectations
Very constructive
Extensive, well defined resource base (still being extended) Producers’ development capabilities & economics are proven and improving U.S. an essential source of incremental world supply Midstream asset acquisitions / consolidation and capacity rationalization
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Compelling Case For Midstream Sector Consolidation Significant wave of infrastructure build out/expansion is winding down Most regions have ample, if not excess takeaway capacity Complicated by expiring T&D agreements
Substantial increase in number of midstream players over last 5 - 7 years >100 midstream MLPs 50 to 100+ private midstream entities
Consolidation would facilitate leveraging scale, scope and ability to interconnect/integrate assets & extract commercial value Enhance competitive position with respect to volume capture Opportunity for capacity rationalization & optimization
Consolidation often warranted / predicted; but routinely encounters limited follow-through www.plainsallamerican.com NYSE: PAA & PAGP
PAA’s Extensive, Interconnected Footprint Positions PAA For An Industry Recovery & / Or Consolidation Available Capacity >100 mb/d 0-100 mb/d Substantially Full - With Low to No Capex -
PAA Handles > 4.6 mmb/d of Crude Oil & NGLs Note: Map includes only most significant PAA assets (includes assets in which PAA owns a partial non-operating interest). Certain PAA assets reflected above are announced or under construction, but not yet in service. Color shading is applied to selected assets in major producing regions.
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Illustration OF PAA’s Inter-Regional Capability To Serve Both Supply Push & Demand Pull Needs Patoka
Bakken / Canadian Crude to St. James Cushing to Broom Cushing Diamond
STACK
Memphis
Stack Injection
Station SCOOP Scoop Injection Station Wichita Falls
Permian Jal
Haynesville
Colorado City
Longview
Midland
Caddo Delek Shreveport
Wink Crane
Driver
Tuscaloosa Mobile
McCamey
Houston
St. James Nederland
Texas City Lyssy
Gardendale
Three Rivers
Corpus Christi Note: Map for illustrative purposes and only includes most significant PAA assets. Not all PAA and 3rd party assets are shown. All amounts are approximate.
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Imports / Exports
PAA Has The Largest Presence In The Permian Basin (Permian rig activity greater than all other major regions combined)
C. City
Central Basin
Midland Basin
Midland
Wink
Legend Trunk line Gathering New Pipeline Additions
Delaware Basin
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Crane
Note: Basin shading is for illustrative purposes McCamey
(1) Source: Drilling Info. Data as of 9/6/16
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