DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT FOR ENVIRONMENTAL DISASTER

Download will affect Indonesia's environmental carrying capacity drastically. ○ Indonesia is an earth-quake prone area. ○ Advanced development o...

0 downloads 574 Views 8MB Size
Decision Support System Development for Environmental Disaster Risk Reduction: Indonesian Experience

Siti Aini Hanum Environmental Data and Information Ministry of State for Environment Indonesia

Outline          

Why DSS for DRR MOE Response to Disaster Management Decision Support Systems Framework Scope of Activities and Locations Case 1: Yogyakarta Case 2: Pangandaran Case 3: Banyumas Case 4: Sidoardjo Post Disaster Environmental Issues: A Summary Recommendations for DRR Collaborative Actions

Why DSS for DRR?



 





Dynamic spatial change due to continuous pressure which will affect Indonesia’s environmental carrying capacity drastically Indonesia is an earth-quake prone area Advanced development of ICT could facilitate the data and information transaction Governance issue:  The rise of civil society roles and participation  Decentralization Limited capacity in Decision Support System development.

Geodynamic and Potential Environmental Impacts

MOE Response to Disaster Management 1.

Database Development (1:1.000,1:5.000, 1:25.000)  Providing high resolution satellite image (Quick Bird, SPOT, Aster))  Detailed mapping for spatial planning recommendation.  Environmental quality mapping (water, soil, debris, waste water treatment, land cover and land use change)

2.

Damage and Risk Assessment  Field investigation and mapping affected or contaminated area  Potential and prediction of impact  Safe location identification  Disasters and risk aspects in rehabilitation/reconstruction phase  Collecting information about earth-quake proof buildings

MOE Response (2) 3.

Capacity Building for MOE Regional Offices and Environmental Authorities at Provincial and District Levels  Environmental quality monitoring and mapping  Utilization of ICT (GIS, remote sensing, information networks)

4.

Post Disaster Intervention  Post disasters waste management (medical, debris, etc.).  Revision of spatial planning with disasters and changing environment consideration  Revitalization of EIA in Aceh specially for rehabilitation and reconstruction projects  Demo plot for environmental rehabilitation (eco-village, coastal rehabilitation)

Environmental Assessment Methods: Chronological Development



Rapid Environmental Assessment (REA) to identify, define and prioritize potential impacts following a disaster and serve as a form of “good practice” for disaster situation.



Rapid Environmental Assessment and Actions (REA2), further development of REA by embedding the technical guidelines development and technical assistance. REA2 has been implementing in most recent disaster affected areas, such as Yogjakarta and Merapi, West Java Tsunami. Time Frame:1-2 weeks, Target Groups: Bappenas, Bakornas PB, sectoral and donor agencies.

Environmental Assessment Methods: Chronological Development



Expert Briefing by inviting experts in the field of Geodesy, Geology, Geodynamics, Building and Materials and Socioeconomic to gather comprehensive and objective insights



Comprehensive Environmental Assessment, further development of REA2 for environmental recovery. Time Frame:1-2 months, Target Groups: Bappenas, Bakornas PB, sectoral and provincial and local governments



Program Intervention for Environmental Recovery in the affected areas.

REA2 Report Output 1. INTRODUCTION 2. FINDINGS AND ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT POST DISASTER V 2.1 General 2.1.1 Casualties and physical destruction 2.1.2 Institutional response 2.2 Inundation mapping 2.2.1 Water marks 2.2.2 Vegetation in Flooded area 2.2.3 Building Structure 2.2.4 Water Marks Delineation Boundary Area 2.3 Post Tsunami Coastal Ecosystem 2.3.1 Ciamis District 2.3.2 Tasikmalaya District 2.3.3 Garut District 2.3.4 Conclusion 2.4 Refugees and Environmental Sanitations 2.5 Environmental Quality Mapping and Waste Management 2.5.1 Water Quality (Wells) 2.5.2 River Quality 2.6 Regional Spatial Planning 2.7 Environmental Institutional Capacity

3. POST DISASTER ISSUE 4. ACTION PLAN AND RECOMMENDATION 4.1 Environmental Rehabilitations and Spatial Arrangement Post Disaster 4.2 Follow ups

Annex: 1: Team 2: Respondent List 3: Water Quality Data 4: Tide Observation Data

Decision Support System Framework

DATABASE Spatial non-spatial Referral Metadata

TOOLS GIS and RS Statistical Analysis Modeling Open based Systems

OUTPUT •

State of the Environment Report (SOE)



Rapid Environmental Assessment and Action (REA2)



Comprehensive Environmental Assessment (CEA)



Monitoring and Evaluation

Decision Support Systems (DSS)

POLICY EXERCISE Model Case Studies

INSTITUTIONALISATI ON Technical Capacity Policy Dialogue

NETWORKING DSS Communities

Scope of Activities and Locations Area1

Area 4 Area 2 Area 3 Area 5

Disaster Management  NAD dan Nias (Area 1)  DI Yogjakarta (Area 2)  Pangandaran and suuroundings (Area 3 ) Disaster Preparedness  Banyumas (Area 4)  Kawasan Merapi (Area 5)  Sukabumi and Sunda Strait(Area 6)

Case 1: Yogjakarta •



• •

A ‘broad fracture zone’ (BFZ) is identified in Yogyakarta, related to the location of the Opak and Dengken faults and the possibility of earthquakes An indication of vulnerability can be obtained by relating the locations of settled and built-up areas and infrastructure to this zone. Settlements area above and around BFZ is growing in last 6 years (2000-2006). The BFZ has a population density of 60040,000 people/km2, depending on location.

Land Use Change Yogjakarta 110°00' 110

110°20'

110°40'

110°00' 110

LANDCOVER 2000 BROAD SCRUPTURE ZONE DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA

110°20'

110°40'

LANDCOVER 2006 BROAD SCRUPTURE ZONE DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA N

N

BOYOLALI

W

BOYOLALI

E

W

10

0

10

S

10

20

0

SUKOHARJO

7°40'

Distric Boundary Forest Mixed Plantation Settlement Swamp Paddy Field Underbrush River/Water Body Opened Land Dry Field Water Body

BANTUL

SLEMAN

10

20

LEGEND : River Road

SUKOHARJO

Distric Boundary Forest Mixed Plantation Settlement Swamp Paddy Field Underbrush River/Water Body Opened Land Dry Field Water Body

KOTA YOGYAKARTA

KULON PROGO

BANTUL

8°00' -8

8°00' -8

GUNUNG KIDUL

KLATEN PURWOREJO

River Road

KOTA YOGYAKARTA

8°00' -8

LEGEND :

8°00' -8

7°40'

SLEMAN

7°40'

7°40'

KLATEN PURWOREJO

S

Kilometers

Kilometers

KULON PROGO

E

MAGELANG

MAGELANG

GUNUNG KIDUL WONOGIRI

WONOGIRI

Prop. DIY

Prop. DIY

Jogyakarta Fault Faultline Estimate Mainrupture

Jogyakarta Fault Faultline Estimate Mainrupture

Source : 1) Topographic Map, 2000, BAKOSURTANAL 2) Danny H. Natawidjaja, 2006, Geoteknologi LIPI

Broad Scrupture Zone

Broad Scrupture Zone 110 110°00'

Source : 1) Topographic Map, 2000, BAKOSURTANAL 2) Danny H. Natawidjaja, 2006, Geoteknologi LIPI 3) ASTER Imagery, November 27, 2006

Comprehensive Environmental Assesment UNEP and MoE Indonesia 2006

110°20'

110 110°00'

Comprehensive Environmental Assesment UNEP and MoE Indonesia 2006

110°20'

110°40'

110°40'

Land Cover Change from 2000 to 2006 in Yogyakarta Province Land cover

2000 extent (ha)

2006 extent (ha)

Area change (ha)

1,318

620

698

down 53%

Mixed plantation

59,789

96,090

36,301

up 61%

Settlement area

54,839

79,327

24,488

up 45%

10

1

9

down 93%

Wet rice fields

85,801

91,709

5,908

up 7%

Underbrush/scrub

26,474

9,399

17,075

down 65%

River/water body

3,051

3,051

0

no change

Open land

3,153

3,985

832

up 26%

83,121

33,374

49,747

down 60%

317,556

317,556

0

no change

Forest

Swamp

Dry cultivation Total

land

Percent change

Environmental quality monitoring results Evaluation of monitoring results is needed to identify the environmental quality post disaster and is classified on several criteria: •

Water quality at up-stream area of several rivers along run off lava from Mount Merapi



Ambient air quality surrounding mount Merapi



Environmental quality of rivers which crossed Yogyakarta City



Environmental quality of Opak fault and surrounding including rivers that meet Kali Opak at downstream and wells, post earthquake – Opak fault.



Environmental quality of Dengkeng fault and surrounding including river that meet Bengawan Solo in Solo at downstream and wells, post earthquake – Dengkeng fault



Environmental quality in Gunung Kidul and Kulon Progo post earthquake, including river and wells



Environmental quality of textile and tannery industries



Environmental quality of landfill site including Kali Bedog

Some Examples of Sampling Locations of Environmental Quality Monitoring

Sampling Points of Well and Soil Quality along Opak Fault and Surroundings

Sampling points of River and Sediment Quality near Dengkeng Fault

Case 2 : Pangandaran

Coastal Vegetations

Rice Fields

Coastal Area

Rice Fields

Affected Area (Photo July 2006)

Settlement Area

hotel

Settlement Area

Tourism Coastal Area

Infrastructure Damage (Photo July 2006)

Land Cover Change from 2000 to 2006 in Ciamis District 110°00' 110

110°20'

110°40'

LANDCOVER 2000 CIAMIS DISTRIC & SURROUNDING WEST JAVA

110°00' 110

110°20'

110°40'

LANDCOVER 2006 CIAMIS DISTRIC & SURROUNDING WEST JAVA

N N

W

E W

6

0

6

S

12

6

0

PANGANDARAN

SIKMALAYA

KALIPUCANG

PARIGI

7°40'

River Road

CILACAP SIDANULIH

CIAMIS

Distric Boundary Forest Mixed Plantation Settlement Plantation Swamp Paddy Field Underbrush Fish Pond Opened Land Dry Field Water Body

PANGANDARAN

SIKMALAYA

KALIPUCANG

PARIGI

CIJULANG

8°00' -8

8°00' -8

8°00' -8

CIJULANG

LEGEND :

8°00' -8

CILACAP SIDANULIH

CIAMIS

6

12

Kilometers 7°40'

7°40'

7°40'

Kilometers

E

S

LEGEND : River Road Distric Boundary Forest Mixed Plantation Settlement Plantation Swamp Paddy Field Underbrush Fish Pond Opened Land Dry Field Water Body

CIMERAK

CIMERAK

Lokasi Pangandaran

Lokasi Pangandaran

Source : 1) Topographic Map, 2000, BAKOSURTANAL 2) Danny H. Natawidjaja, 2006, Geoteknologi LIPI 3) ASTER Imagery, November 27, 2006

Source : 1) Topographic Map, 2000, BAKOSURTANAL 2) Danny H. Natawidjaja, 2006, Geoteknologi LIPI

110 110°00'

Comprehensive Environmental Assesment UNEP and MoE Indonesia 2006 110°20'

Comprehensive Environmental Assesment UNEP and MoE Indonesia 2006

110 110°00'

110°20'

110°40'

110°40'

Land Cover Change from 2000 to 2006 in Ciamis District Land cover

2000 extent (ha)

2006 extent (ha)

Area change (ha)

Forest

1,602

960

642

down 40%

Mixed plantation

7,052

11,384

4,332

up 61%

Settlement area

3,521

3,847

326

up 9%

36,425

29,973

6,452

down 18%

Plantation Swamp

Percent change

563

454

109

down 19%

11,322

17,016

5,694

up 50%

7,194

4,849

2,345

down 33%

17

64

47

up 277%

River/water body

898

869

29

down 3%

Open land

386

204

182

down 47%

4,080

3,440

640

down 16%

73,060

73,060

0

no change

Wet rice fields Underbrush/scrub Embankment

Dry cultivation Total

land

WATER QUALITY OF WELLS IN Pangandaran

Water quality of rivers in Pangandaran

REHABILITATION ACTIVITIES

Rehabilitated Area (Photo of 21 dan 22 Mei 2007).

Wave breakers in Pangandaran Eastern Coastal

New houses in Pangandaran Coastal

Photo of May 2007).

Hotels and cottages along Pangandaran Coastal after rehabilitations

Fishermans’ activities

Photo of May 2007

Case Study 3: Environmental Sound Technologies (ESTs) Project OUTPUTS :  Database on conditions and trends (social/economy, biophysical) in Policy gap analysis and options  ESTs Demonstration  Capacity building for related stakeholders in targeted areas Partners :  UNEP IETC-Osaka  Universitas Jendral Soedirman (UNSOED)  SAKANO Laboratory, Tokyo Institute of Technology Financial Support :  UNEP (50.000 USD), MOE (inkind) Timeframe:  2005 - 2007

Case Study 4: Environmental Monitoring Sidoarjo Mud Flow • Mud flow volume can not be predict precisely. In early stage (29 Mei 2006) is predicted arround 5.000 m3/day. The trend of mud flows is increased. In few days it increase to 25.000 m3/day, and after several moths the rise is predicted from 50.000 m3/day to 75.000 m3/day.

• Data monitoring from June to December 2006 shows that heavy metal parameters in the mud which have significant concentration are: Zn, Cu, Pb, Mn dan Cd. Parameter Hg dan Ag are observed not significant due to limitation of equipment detection.

Mud monitoring for odor and toxicity parameters Odor parameters No

Location

H2S (ppm)

NH3 (ppm)

Styrene (ppm)

1

Siring Village

0 ,03*

0,025

<0,0002

2

Jatirejo Village

0,036*

<0,02

<0,0002

3

Kedungbendo Village

0,001

0,058

<0,0002

4

Renokenongo Village

0,008

0,012

<0,0002

5

0,005

0,044

<0,0002

6

Permisan Village Pamotan Village

0,022

0,007

<0,0002

7

Snubbing

0,005

0,12

<0,0002

8

Detection Limit

0,0002

0,02

0,0002

0,02

2

0,1

Quality std of Minister Decree no.50,1996 Source: SoER, 2006

Toxicity parameters No

Location

Toluene (mg/M3) Xylena (mg/M3) Phenol (mg/M3)

1

Siring Village

264

<0,001

0,62

2

Jatirejo Village

290

<0,001

3,38

3

Kedungbendo Village

117

<0,001

7,52

4

Renokenongo Village

250

<0,001

2,49

5

Permisan Village

90,3

<0,001

0,81

6

Pamotan Village

586

<0,001

2,59

7

Snubbing

136

<0,001

4,98

8

Detection Limit

0,001

0,001

0,5

Source: SoER, 2006

Post Disaster Environmental Issues 

Environmental Information Baseline  



Environmental Impact  





Woods and other materials (reuse?) “building code”

Post Disaster’s Governance [macro vs. micro]  



Waste management (domestic, debris) Environmental rehabilitation and relocation to “safe” area

Reconstruction Materials 



Map/satellite images with high resolution (1:5.000) Environmental quality (water, soil, air, waste)

Spatial arrangement (district/city, village) Empowering environmental institutions (Regional offices, provinces and district’s Bapedalda)

Spatial engineered 

demo plot “eco-design/development”

Recommendations for Collaborative Actions •

Develop detailed risk and vulnerability maps for hazard-prone areas, using standard methods agreed by all stakeholders and including the systematic acquisition of natural hazard data from multiple sources.



Review existing laws, recent developments in National Disaster Reduction mechanisms, and encourage the adoption and enhancement of land use plans, building codes, and ordinances to enhance capacity and reduce vulnerability of areas to natural hazards.



Develop an information system through which Indonesians can learn about natural hazards, including an online portal to resources, websites, and data sharing systems.



Encourage and enable community-based hazard identification and vulnerability and risk assessment from an all-hazard perspective, and provide support for holistic and ecological approaches to mitigation.



Support interdisciplinary research and knowledge transfer to document impacts and costs, thus enhancing understanding of disasters and demonstrating benefits that accrue from disaster mitigation.



Ensure that disaster warning systems activate predefined emergency activities, including such measures as ‘safety shutdown’, ‘evacuation’, ‘stop all jetty operations’, and ‘alert emergency response team’.



Promote preventive measures, for example in the case of extremely toxic chemicals, by improving storage, relocating storage, using double containment systems, and installing special tsunami impact blocking measures.



Develop and implement retrofitting, redevelopment, grant, and abatement programs to help strengthen existing structures in hazard prone areas.



Establish expert committees on disaster risk management system at national, provincial and district levels.

MoE Response in providing Information, Communication and Technology Infrastructure Environmental Mobile Information Unit is part of infrastructures system in disaster management for field data acquisitions and provide communication and information network access. This mobile unit will be used in isolated areas which have no telecommunication network access.