FIN 4230 T01– FINANCIAL MODELING – Winter 2015 - University of

Since the main focus of the course is "hands-on" learning of financial modeling, it is necessary that students will be comfortable with the theoretica...

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University of Manitoba Asper School of Business Department of Accounting & Finance

FIN 4230 T01– FINANCIAL MODELING – Winter 2015 Instructor: Office: E-mail: Phone: Office Hours:

Dr. Ying Zhang 466 Drake Centre [email protected] (204) 474-9480 10:00 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Wednesdays or by appointment

PREREQUISITES A good knowledge of the implemented theory is required for the student to benefit from the course. Therefore, a prerequisite for this course is FIN 2200. Students must have a basic command of Excel. COURSE DESCRIPTION The objective of this course is to provide you with a practical perspective of the application of major finance models using Microsoft Excel. At the end of the course, students should have a good appreciation for the development and use of spreadsheet-based financial models, implementation of a concise and sound methodology, and utilization of financial theory over a wide range of applications used by practitioners in the financial industry. This course aims to prepare students for success by building a toolkit for financial modeling. The course will benefit students aspiring to a career in financial-services including investment banking, private equity, portfolio management, research, and consulting. It will also benefit students interested in a corporate-finance career.

SYNOPSIS The course will be taught in the form of lab sessions. The lab sessions are designed to implement financial models acquired in the prerequisite courses using Excel. The advantage of spreadsheet modeling for financial management and model valuation is well established and widely accepted. Since the main focus of the course is "hands-on" learning of financial modeling, it is necessary that students will be comfortable with the theoretical models taught in the prerequisite courses.

RECOMMENDED TEXT 1. Simon Benninga, Financial Modeling: Fourth Edition, The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 2014.

REQUIRED MATERIALS 1. Lecture notes - lecture notes will be available on the course’s Desire2Learn (D2L) site. Students are responsible for checking D2L and downloading the relevant material before each class. 2. Computer - Students are strongly encouraged to bring their laptop computer to every class and be ready to work with Microsoft Excel. If a student does not have a laptop available, s/he will have to use the computer available in the Finance training lab. 3. Other course material - I will post announcements, notes, Excel spreadsheets, and other course materials on the course D2L site. You are responsible for downloading, printing, and reading the relevant materials.

ATTENDANCE Class attendance is important if students are to derive maximum benefit from the course. Moreover, the term project is based on methodology covered in class. The only way you can do the term project and contribute to your group is if you attend classes regularly. Missing more than three classes will result in failing the course. You are responsible for knowing what occurs in class which may include material not covered in the readings, modifications to the syllabus and announcements concerning the term project, presentations, or examination.

TERM PROJECT The term project will be handed out at least two weeks prior to the due date. The project is due at the beginning of class on Wednesday, April 1st. Late projects will not be accepted. All projects must be typed. Hand written projects will not be accepted under any circumstances. Project presentations will take place in class on Wednesday, April 8th.

GRADING Your course grade will be based on an examination (30%), a term project (50%) and presentation of the term project (20%). Please note that the term project grade is a combination of the grade assigned by me and groupmember evaluation. For the group-member evaluation, students will evaluate each of the group members with which they prepared the term project. The group-member evaluation is based on the member’s contribution to the analysis and write-up of the term project. Please note that all group members are expected to significantly contribute to the project. Failing to meaningfully participate in solving the project will result in failing the course. Also, please remember that the only way you can do the term project and contribute to your group is if you are actually in class (see attendance requirements above). The presentation grade is based on my own evaluation of every group member’s presentation. Every group member will be evaluated individually based on (but not limited to) criteria such as: analysis, understanding of the concepts, delivery, and communication style, and visuals.

A grade of zero will be given to a missed examination without a legitimate reason. Students who miss the final examination for a legitimate reason (medical, compassionate, academic conflict or university sports team travel) must apply to the Undergraduate Program Office for possible deferred examination privileges. Students missing the examination for a medical reason must obtain a doctor's certification that the student's condition is severe enough to prevent the student from taking the examination or test. It is recommended that the student ask the doctor to fill out the Medical Absenteeism Form attached to this course outline as the suitable documentation for an excused medical absence. It is not sufficient to provide a note that only indicates the student visited the doctor's office or a note not covering the date of the examination. The examination is closed-book. You are allowed to bring one double-sided 8.5" x 11" sheet with anything hand written on it. You can (and should) also bring a financial calculator. In the event that your calculator is programmable you may NOT enter any text, formulae, or data. The use of laptops, pagers, and mobile phones is not permitted during the examination.

SUMMARY OF IMPORTANT DATES  Mid-Term Break: February 16-20, 2015 (no class on February 18)  Voluntary Withdrawal by: March 19, 2015  Project is due: April 1st , 2015; at the beginning of class  Class presentations: April 8th, 2015

TENTATIVE TOPICS The course will cover the following (tentative) list of topics:  Portfolio selection (Markowitz theory)  Simple linear regression: - Ordinary Least Squares estimation of beta and the Security Market Line - The Market Model - Sum Beta (including lag) estimation for thinly-traded securities  Multiple regression: - Estimating the Fama-French Three Factor Model - Portfolio performance evaluation  Value-at-Risk (VaR) - The Parametric Method - The Historical Pattern Method - The Monte Carlo Simulation Method - Estimating bond portfolio VaR  Option Pricing Models - Pricing of stock options  Pricing corporate bonds  Building a financial model

ACADEMIC INTEGRITY It is critical to the reputation of the I. H. Asper School of Business and of our degrees, that everyone associated with our faculty behaves with the highest academic integrity. As the faculty that helps create business and government leaders, we have a special obligation to ensure that our ethical standards are beyond reproach. Any dishonesty in our academic transactions violates this trust. Page 28 of the University of Manitoba General Calendar addresses the issue of academic dishonesty under the heading "Plagiarism and Cheating". Specifically, acts of academic dishonesty include, but are not limited to:  using the exact words of a published or unpublished author without quotation marks and without referencing the source of these words  duplicating a table, graph or diagram, in whole or in part, without referencing the source  paraphrasing the conceptual framework, research design, interpretation, or any other ideas of another person, whether written or verbal (e.g., personal communications, ideas from a verbal presentation) without referencing the source  copying the answers of another student in any test, examination, or take-home assignment  providing answers to another student in any test, examination, or take-home assignment  taking any unauthorized materials into an examination or term test (e.g., crib notes)  using any unauthorized materials in an examination or term test (e.g., crib notes)  impersonating another student or allowing another person to impersonate oneself for the purpose of submitting academic work or writing any test or examination  stealing or mutilating library materials  accessing tests prior to the time and date of the sitting  changing name or answer(s) on a test after that test has been graded and returned  submitting the same paper or portions thereof for more than one assignment, without discussions with the instructors involved. Group Projects and Group Work: Many courses in the I. H. Asper School of Business require group projects. Students should be aware that group projects are subject to the same rules regarding academic dishonesty. Should a violation occur, group members are jointly accountable unless the violation can be attributed to a specific individual(s). Some courses, while not requiring group projects, encourage students to work together in groups (or at least do not prohibit it) before submitting individual assignments. Students are encouraged to discuss this issue as it relates to academic integrity with their instructor to avoid violating this policy. In the I. H. Asper School of Business all suspected cases of academic dishonesty are passed to the Dean's office in order to ensure consistency of treatment.

UNIVERSITY OF MANITOBA I. H. Asper School of Business Medical Absenteeism Form Student Identification: (please print clearly) ______________________________ Last Name

___________________ ___________ First Name Middle Initial

_______________________________ U of M Student Identification Number

I hereby authorize ________________________________ to verify with the attending physician or his/her (Name of Instructor/Administrator)

staff or colleagues that the contents of this form are true. ________________________________________

_______________________________________

Student’s Signature

Date

To be completed by the attending physician: (after the above section is completed) ________________________________________

______________________________ ________________

Physician’s Last Name (please print clearly)

Physician’s First Name

Middle Initial

___________________________________________ Street Address

________________________________ City, Province

___________________________________________ Telephone Number

________________________________ Fax Number

__________________ Postal Code

To the attention of the physician: Your evaluation of the student’s condition is being used for the purpose of determining whether or not the student has a valid reason to miss an important exam or assignment. Your professional evaluation is necessary to ensure that only valid cases are excused. I certify that the nature of the student’s condition is severe enough to prevent the student from taking an exam or completing an assignment. If requested, my associates or I will verify for the above-named instructor/administrator that this information is accurate. The student’s condition will likely span the following dates:

____________________________ (indicate start date)

until ____________________________ (indicate end date)

___________________________________

________________________________

Physician’s Signature

Date

Notes to physician:  Please make a note in the student/patient’s file indicating that the student has given the above-named instructor/administrator permission to verify with you, your staff, or your colleagues, that the information contained on this form is correct. Thank you for your professional evaluation of this student’s condition.  PLEASE ATTACH THIS FORM TO YOUR REGULAR OFFICE STATIONERY THAT INDICATES THE STUDENT VISITED YOUR OFFICE. Note to student:  The use of this form is at the option of the student. However, in order to obtain an excused absence for an assignment or exam, the student must obtain a doctor’s certification that the student’s condition is severe enough to prevent the student from taking the exam or completing the assignment.  It is NOT SUFFICIENT to provide a note that only indicates the student visited the doctor’s office.