Working Capital - The Cheapest Source of Cash

companies in our survey, and a further deterioration of working capital performance. FY16 has seen further 9 day (7%) deterioration in working capital...

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Working Capital – the cheapest source of cash 2017 Middle East Working Capital study

Key findings

Working capital performance has continued to deteriorate further across key Middle East territories

1

2 Middle market companies have seen a significant deterioration in working capital performance

Top working capital performers in each sector continue to widen their lead against their peers across key financial metrics

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4

Despite the overall negative working capital trend, there are companies in each sector that have been able to improve their working capital performance

An untapped source of cash Working capital performance has deteriorated significantly, each quarter, since the oil price decline in Q414 Since our last study, the Middle East has seen a continued lower oil price environment, an overall decline in revenues for those companies in our survey, and a further deterioration of working capital performance. FY16 has seen further 9 day (7%) deterioration in working capital performance, a cumulative 14 day (11%) deterioration since FY14. Most interestingly our latest study of working capital performance shows that while smaller companies were initially impacted by the lower oil price environment in FY15, FY16 has seen a significant deterioration of working capital performance for larger companies. Our study also however demonstrates that regardless of size or sector companies can improve their working capital performance. In addition to the cash benefits from better working capital management, leading working capital performers have demonstrated better KPIs across all key financial metrics. Working capital performance is often cited as one of the best indicators to demonstrate the quality of management.

Net Working Capital performance across regions, sectors and company size categories NWC days trend and oil price development 100

100 87

90

75

60

135

130

126

62

123

123

122

130

128

125

54

49

50

45

46

44

40

120 115

30

110

20

105

10 0

140

Days

USD/bbl

70

135

133

80

137

4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

3Q15

4Q15

1Q16

2Q16

3Q16

4Q16

100

NWC days

Crude Oil – Brent (Average of LTM daily closing quotes)

Quarterly NWC days by country (19%) 180 +11%

160 140

Days

120

+4%

+11% +11%

0%

+18%

+14%

100

(26%)

80

+39%

60 40 20 0 Kuwait 4Q14

1Q15

2Q15

Saudi Arabia

Qatar

Oman 3Q15

4Q15

1Q16

2Q16

United Arab Emirates

3Q16

4Q16

Quarterly NWC days development by company size category (indexed) 130

120

110

100

90

80 4Q14

1Q15

2Q15 Small

3Q15

4Q15 Mid

Large

1Q16 Very large

2Q16

3Q16

4Q16

NWC performance improvers vs. non-improvers 2015-2016 by sector Transportation & logistics

69%

Communications

31%

55%

Hospitality & leisure

48%

51%

49%

Energy, utilities & Mining Aerospace, defence & security

50%

Automotive

50%

Retail & consumer Chemicals Metals Pharmaceuticals & life sciences

45%

52%

50% 50%

46% 44%

54% 56%

43%

57%

40%

60%

37%

Industrial manufacturing Technology Engineering & construction

63%

33%

67%

33%

67%

14%

Healthcare

86% 100%

Forest, paper & packaging Improvers

Non-Improvers

How we can help Phases in the journey Complete a working capital benchmarking exercise to compare performance against peers and identify potential improvement opportunities

Perform a diagnostic review to identify ‘quick wins’ and longer-term working capital improvement opportunities

Develop detailed action plans for implementation to generate cash and make sustainable improvements

Assist the realisation of sustainable working capital reduction by implementing robust, efficient and collaborative processes

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Addressing the key levers: Identification, harmonisation and improvement of commercial terms

Process optimisation throughout the end-to-end working capital cycles Process compliance and monitoring

Creating and embedding a ‘cash culture’ within the organisation, optimising the trade-offs between cash, cost and service

Contact us Middle East Deals Advisory

Laurent Depolla Partner, Deals Advisory

E: [email protected]

Matthew Wilde Partner, Deals Advisory E: [email protected]

Erwan Colder Partner, Deals Advisory E: [email protected]

Middle East Working Capital team

Mihir Bhatt

Director, Deals Advisory E: [email protected]

Matti Kasi

Senior Manager, Deals Advisory E: [email protected]

Henri Jansson

Assistant Manager, Deals Advisory E: [email protected]

Global Working Capital team

Daniel Windaus Partner

E: [email protected]

Stephen Tebbett Partner

E: [email protected]

Rob Kortman Partner

E: [email protected]

Simon Boehme Director

E: [email protected]

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