2013-2014 Merit Review Sayed H. Saghaian (Mehdi), Associate Professor, DOE – 70% research, 30% teaching. I. RESEARCH Hatch Project: (PI.) “Food Safety Incidents and the Food Supply Chain: The Impacts on Consumers and Producers and the Strategic Response of Supply Chain Managers and Food Industry Leaders.” Termination date is March 31, 2017. Grant Proposals Submitted: (3 proposals) 1. Saghaian, S. (PI). “Partnership for Enhancing Agribusiness Competitiveness and Sustainability in India and the United States.”Obama Singh 21st Century Knowledge Initiative Grant, $248,623.00 (not funded) 2. Saghaian, S. (Co-PI). “Addressing Challenges to Bio-based Fuel Production: Systemsbased Approach for Sustainable Biofuels Supply Chain Design and Assessment through Cyber-Enabled Decision Support Models.” NSF, $550,000.00 (not funded) 3. Saghaian, S. (Co-PI). “Creating Education Abroad Opportunities for Undergraduate Students to Study Agricultural Biotechnology Topics in China.”Higher Education Challenge Grants Program, National Institute of Food and Agriculture, Higher Education - Institution Challenge Grants Program, USDA-NIFA-CGP-004425, $195,759.00 (not funded) Published Refereed Journal Articles: (12 publications) 1. Saghaian, S., G. Ozertan, and H. Tekguc. (2014). “Market Power in the Poultry Sector in Turkey.” Bogazici Journal of Review of Social, Economics & Administrative Studies, 28 (2): forthcoming. 2. Yang, S-H., S. Saghaian, and M. Reed. (2014). “International Pork Trade and Foot-andMouth Disease.”Journal of International Agricultural Trade & Development, (9):1-20. 3. Saghaian, S. and M. Reed. (2014). “The Impact of the Recent Federal Reserve LargeScale Asset Purchases on the Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Historical Decomposition.” International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics, 2 (2): 1-16. 4. Ashktorab, N., S. Saghaian, and N. Shahnoushi. (2013). “An Analysis of Aflatoxin Food Safety Concerns and other Factors Affecting Iran’s Pistachio Exports to EU, Australia, and Japan,” Asian Journal of Agriculture & Development, 10(2): 95-105. 5. Li, X. (Vivian), S. Saghaian, and M. Reed. (2013). “Differential Impacts of HACCP Systems on Trade Flows: The Case of U.S. Seafood Exports.” Economics World, 1, 1, (December):14-28. 6. Li, X. (Sheila) and S. Saghaian. (2013). “The Dynamics of Price Transmission in the Presence of a Major Quality Differential: The Case of Colombian Milds and Vietnamese Robusta Coffee Beans.” Journal of Agribusiness, 1, 31 (Fall):181-192. 7. Saghaian, S., G. Ozertan, and H. Tekguc. (2013). “Beef and Milk Price Links in Turkey,” Economics Bulletin, 33(4):2607-2616. 8. Asgari, M. and S. Saghaian. (2013). “Oligopolistic Market Structure in the Japanese Pistachio Import Market,” Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, 11(1):1-13.
9. Shahnoushi, N., S. Saghaian, M. Reed, A. Firoozzare, and M. Jalerajabi. (2013). “Investigation of Factors Affecting Consumers’ Bread Wastage” Journal of Agricultural Economics & Development, 6(2): 246-254. 10. Li, X. (Vivian), S. Saghaian, and M. Reed. (2013). “The Impact of HACCP on U.S. Seafood Exports: The Case of Fish, Mollusks and Shellfish other than Mollusks,” Journal of International Agricultural Trade & Development, 8(2):111-123. 11. Shahnoushi, N., S. Saghaian, M. Reed, and F. Hayatgheibi. (2013). “Value of Water in an Arid Area of Central Iran,” Journal of Basic & Applied Scientific Research, 3(9):401407. 12. Tan, T., J. Shen, M. Reed, S. Saghaian, and C. Chen. (2013). “The Impact of GMO Safety Regulations on Chinese Soybean Exports,” Journal of Basic & Applied Scientific Research, 3(3):164-171. Journal Articles Under Review (6 articles) 1. Saghaian, S., G. Ozertan, and H. Tekguc. “Dynamics of Price Transmission and Market Power in the Turkish Beef Sector.” Under review by the Turkish journal of Economics, Business & Finance. 2. Saghaian, S. and M. Reed. “Spillover Effects of U.S. Federal Reserve’s Recent Quantitative Easing on Canadian Commodity Prices.” Under review by ARER. 3. Sujarwo, J., M. Reed and S. Saghaian. “Changing Technical, Allocative, and Economic Production Efficiency of Small-Scale Farmers in Indonesia.” Under review by Developing Economies. 4. Li, XL, and S. Saghaian. “Price Adjustment and Market Power in the Columbian Milds Coffee Market.” Under review by Agribusiness: An International Journal. 5. Shepherd, J. and S. Saghaian. “Risk Perception and Trust Interaction in Response to Food Safety Events across Products and Their Implications for Agribusiness Firms.” Under review by Food Distribution Research. 6. Sujarwo, J., M. Reed and S. Saghaian. “Efficient Input Allocation and Profit Gap of the Small-Scale Production of Shallot: The Case Study in a Small Village in East Java Province of Indonesia.” Under review by JAE. Refereed Proceedings: (2 proceedings) 1. Saghaian, S., G. Ozertan, and H. Tekguc. (2014). “Dynamics of Price Transmission and Market Power in the Turkish Beef Sector.” The 24th Annual World Forum & Symposium, International Food & Agribusiness Management Association (IFAMA), June 16-20, Cape Town, South Africa. [Available on IFAMA website] 2. Saghaian, S., G. Ozertan, and H. Tekguc. (2014). “Beef and Milk Price Links in Turkey.” The 24th Annual World Forum & Symposium, International Food & Agribusiness Management Association (IFAMA), June 16-20, Cape Town, South Africa. [Available on IFAMA website] Published Refereed Abstracts: (14 abstracts) 1. Adekunle, O. and S. Saghaian. (2014).” A Hedonic price analysis of internet auctions for the BLM’s Wild horses and Burros: An overview of management strategies for the BLM to increase public adoption rate of Wild horses and Burros.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393. 2. Barnhart, J. and S. Saghaian. (2014). “What variables have historically impacted Kentucky and Iowa farmland values?” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393.
2
3. Hardin, D. and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Factors that affect seasonality in Kentucky feeder calf prices and how calving dates affect cow-calf enterprise Profitability.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393. 4. Lang, M. and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Effects of Shale Energy Production on Cropland Land Rents in North Dakota.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393. 5. Meas, T., W. Hu, and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Seafood Product Attributes: A Multi-species and Multi-state Comparison.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393. 6. Mohammed, R. and S. Saghaian. (2014). “Technical Efficiency Estimation of Rice Production in South Korea.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393. 7. Saghaian, Y., M. Reed, and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Export Demand Estimation for U.S. Corn and Soybeans to Major Destinations.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393. 8. Sene, S. and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Liberalized World Trade and Food Imports under Foreign Exchange Constraints in the CFA's Franc Zone of Sub-Saharan Africa.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 46:393. 9. Osborne, W. and S. Saghaian. (2013). “Factors Affecting U.S. Farmer’s Expenditures on Farm Machinery 1960-2010.”Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 45:577. 10. Wang, X. and S. Saghaian. (2013). “The Impact of the Melamine Milk Scandal and other Factors Influencing China’s Dairy Imports.”Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 45:577. 11. Sujarwo, J., and S. Saghaian. (2013). “Profit Gap Analysis of Small Scale Production of Shallot: A Case Study in a Small Village in East Java Province of Indonesia.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 45:577. 12. Asgari, M. and S. Saghaian. (2013). “Oligopolistic Market Structure in the Japanese Pistachio Import Market.”Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 45:577. 13. Wells, P., W. Osborne, and S. Saghaian. (2013). “The Expansion of Food Retail in Developing Countries and Its Effects on the Hunger Index.”Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 45:577. 14. Li, X. and S. Saghaian. (2013). “An Empirical Study of Coffee Price Transmission in Vietnam.”Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Abstract 45:577. National and International Conference Presentations: (22 presentations) 1. Saghaian, S. (presenter), G. Ozertan, and H. Tekguc. (2014). “Dynamics of Price Transmission and Market Power in the Turkish Beef Sector.”Selected paper, the 24th Annual World Forum & Symposium, International Food & Agribusiness Management Association (IFAMA), June 16-20, Cape Town, South Africa. 2. Saghaian, S. (presenter), G. Ozertan, and H. Tekguc. (2014). “Beef and Milk Price Links in Turkey.”Selected paper, the 24th Annual World Forum & Symposium, International Food & Agribusiness Management Association (IFAMA), June 16-20, Cape Town, South Africa. 3. Saghaian, S. and M. Reed (presenter). (2014). “Spillover Effects of U.S. Federal Reserve's Recent Quantitative Easing on Canadian Commodity Prices.”Selected
3
paper, Canadian Agricultural Economics Association (CAEA) Annual Conference, Thursday, May 29, 2014 - Sunday, June 1, 2014, Vancouver, Canada. 4. Saghaian, S. and M. Reed (presenter). (2014). “The Impact of the Recent Federal Reserve Large-Scale Asset Purchases on the Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Historical Decomposition.” Selected poster, American Agricultural Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meetings, July 27-29, Minneapolis, MN. 5. Li, X. (Sheila) (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2014) “The Presence of Market Power in High Quality Coffee Market: The Case of Colombian Milds.” Selected paper, American Agricultural Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meetings, July 2729, Minneapolis, MN. 6. Adekunle, O. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2014).” A Hedonic price analysis of internet auctions for the BLM’s Wild horses and Burros: An overview of management strategies for the BLM to increase public adoption rate of Wild horses and Burros.”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 1-4, Dallas, Texas. 7. Barnhart, J. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2014). “What variables have historically impacted Kentucky and Iowa farmland values?”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 1-4, Dallas, Texas. 8. Hardin, D. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Factors that affect seasonality in Kentucky feeder calf prices and how calving dates affect cow-calf enterprise Profitability.”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 1-4, Dallas, Texas. 9. Lang, M. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Effects of Shale Energy Production on Cropland Land Rents in North Dakota.”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 1-4, Dallas, Texas. 10. Meas, T. (presenter), W. Hu, and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Seafood Product Attributes: A Multi-species and Multi-state Comparison.”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 1-4, Dallas, Texas. 11. Mohammed, R. (presenter) and S. Saghaian.(2014). “Technical Efficiency Estimation of Rice Production in South Korea.”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 1-46, Dallas, Texas. 12. Saghaian, Y. (presenter), M. Reed, and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Export Demand Estimation for U.S. Corn and Soybeans to Major Destinations.”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 14, Dallas, Texas. 13. Sene, S. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2014).” Liberalized World Trade and Food Imports under Foreign Exchange Constraints in the CFA's Franc Zone of SubSaharan Africa.”Selected Paper, the Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 1-4, Dallas, Texas. 14. Saghaian, S. (2013). “Monetary Policy, Inflation, Exchange Rate Volatility & Investment.”Invited paper presented at the ‘National Conference on Sustainable Development with an Approach to Business Environment Improvement.’ 18-19 December, Mashhad, Iran.
4
15. Didier Y. Alia (presenter), M. Reed and S. Saghaian.(2013). “Estimating the Causal Effect of Trade Liberalization on Economic Growth Using Treatment Effect Framework,” Kentucky Economic Association Annual Conference, October 11, Frankfort, Kentucky 16. Li, X. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2013). “An Empirical Comparison of Coffee Price Transmission in Vietnam and Colombia.”Selected Paper, AAEA Annual Meetings, August12-14, Washington, DC. 17. Osborne, W. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2013). “Factors Affecting U.S. Farmer’s Expenditures on Farm Machinery 1960-2010.”Selected Paper, the Southern Association of Agricultural Economics (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 2-6, Orlando, Florida. 18. Wang, X. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2013). “The Impact of the Melamine Milk Scandal and other Factors Influencing China’s Dairy Imports.”Selected Paper, the Southern Association of Agricultural Economics (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 2-6, Orlando, Florida. 19. Sujarwo, J. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2013). “Profit Gap Analysis of Small Scale Production of Shallot: A Case Study in a Small Village in East Java Province of Indonesia.” Selected Paper, the Southern Association of Agricultural Economics (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 2-6, Orlando, Florida. 20. Asgari, M. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2013). “Oligopolistic Market Structure in the Japanese Pistachio Import Market.”Selected Poster, the Southern Association of Agricultural Economics (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 2-6, Orlando, Florida. 21. Wells, P., W. Osborne (presenter), and S. Saghaian. (2013). “The Expansion of Food Retail in Developing Countries and Its Effects on the Hunger Index.”Selected Paper, the Southern Association of Agricultural Economics (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 2-6, Orlando, Florida. 22. Li, X. (presenter) and S. Saghaian. (2013). “An Empirical Study of Coffee Price Transmission in Vietnam.”Selected Paper, the Southern Association of Agricultural Economics (SAEA) Annual Meetings, February 2-6, Orlando, Florida. Ph.D. Student Advising: (3 students) 1. LI, Xiaoqian, Director, in progress, defense scheduled for December 2014. 2. Li, XL, Co-Director, in progress. 3. Mahdi Asgari, Co-Director, in progress. MS Student Advising: (4 students) 1. Sene, S., 2014, Director. 2. Sujarwo, J. 2014, committee member. 3. Tan Shi-Kwan, 2013, committee member. 4. Wells, P. 2013, committee member. Other Graduate Student Committees: 2 Ph.D. and 2 MS committees. Undergraduate Advising: 15 students in 2013, 14 students in 2014. Internships: Three students. Research Gate Score: 6.61 Full Text Downloads: 143
5
II. TEACHING: (5 classes) 1. Currently I am invited/teaching a short course in International Agribusiness Trade at the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran. 2. Spring 2014: AEC 622, “Economic Foundations of Strategy and Agribusiness Management,” (8 students) 3.63/4.0. 3. Spring 2014: AEC 422, “Agribusiness Management,” (40 students) 3.25/4.0. 4. Spring 2013: AEC 622, “Economic Foundations of Strategy and Agribusiness Management,” (11 students) 2.75/4.0. 5. Spring 2013: AEC 422, “Agribusiness Management,” (40 students) 3.20/4.0. III. PROFESSIONAL LEADERSHIP AND SERVICE ACTIVITIES Committees, Elected Positions, and Office Held: Full Member, Graduate Faculty in Agricultural Economics, since 2008. Committee Member, AEC Undergraduate Program Committee, since 2012. Advisor, Agribusiness Club, since 2011. Professional Membership: American Agricultural Economics Association (AAEA). Southern Agricultural Economics Association (SAEA). Food Distribution Research Society (FDRS). AAEA Agribusiness Economics & Management Section (AEM). Western Extension & Research Activities on Agribusiness, Project 72 (WERA-72). International Food and Agribusiness Management Association (IFAMA). Journal Reviews: Reviewed articles for the following scientific journals: 1. American Journal of Agricultural Economics (AJAE). 2. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics (JARE). 3. Agricultural and Resource Economic Review (ARER). 4. Agribusiness: An International Journal (AGR). 5. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review (IFAMR). 6. Journal of Forecasting (JF). 7. Journal of Food Distribution Research (JFDR). 8. African Journal of Agricultural Research (AJAR).
NARATIVE My overall research program (Hatch Project) concentrates on the impact of food safety incidents on the food supply chain. I focus on market effects of food safety shocks, consumer behavior toward food safety incidents, and food industry leasers’ and producers’ strategic responses to food safety crises. I am currently spending my sabbatical leave at the Bogazici University, Istanbul, Turkey. I am collaborating on an ongoing research on milk, beef, and poultry markets there. In recent years in Turkey, the number of sheep in the country has shown significant decreases and the number of cattle has stagnated. With limited imports, red meat prices in the country have shown considerable increases since 2006, and the recent liquidation of dairy herd has also contributed to the increase in red meat prices. Evaluation of the links between these markets is part of the economic analysis on the red meat market in Turkey I’m conducting. I’m using time-series techniques to discover how the milk and beef markets interact in the long-term and how the price transmission among these markets
6
occurs. Furthermore, we’re looking at the poultry sector in Turkey. Major poultry producers in Turkey are vertically integrated and have their own distribution channels. The Competition Authority (CA) in Turkey penalized 27 broiler chicken producers in 2009, for agreeing to restrict supply and control prices, hence, forming a cartel. The CA based its punishment decision on communication records among major broiler chicken producers, using raw price series without any statistical or econometric analysis. In our research, time-series methods are employed to test directly for the presence of market power along the supply chain in the poultry sector for both demand and supply sides in Turkey. The results of this research are important for policy development regarding food, dairy, and red meat markets, and may influence subsidies provided to these markets by the government. My sabbatical leave will end by the end of December. Regarding teaching performance, I teach the Agribusiness Management course, AEC 422, to our undergraduate seniors. AEC 422 is considered to be the capstone course for our undergraduate students specializing in Agribusiness Management. I also teach an advanced version of the Agribusiness Management course, i.e., AEC 622, for our M.S. and Ph.D. students. I usually get fairly good teaching evaluations for my course, especially for AEC 622. However, in 2013 my teaching evaluations for 622 dropped mostly due to pushing my students (maybe too far) to submit their research projects for presentation to annual national conferences. However, my student evaluations for the class recovered and were back over 3.6 in 2014, and in both 2013-14 years, students had a huge success in getting their research get accepted, presenting at the SAEA. I believe the low 622 teaching evaluation in 2013 was an outlier, inconsistent with all my previous evaluations, and should have no impact on my merit review ranking. Currently, I am the director of three Ph.D. dissertations and a member of two other Ph.D., and two M.S. committees.
7
