The Berkeley Group: Economic Impact Assessment

2 The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment The Berkeley Group Holdings plc Established in 1976 with the founding of Berkeley Homes in Weybridge, ...

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The Berkeley Group

Economic Impact Assessment

Contents Executive summary

1

Background to the study

2

Berkeley’s economic impacts

8

Final remarks

26

Appendix A Timeline

28

Appendix B Glossary

29

Appendix C Economic Impact Assessment Methodology

30

Appendix D References

32

Grosvenor Waterside

Executive summary

In November 2012 The Berkeley Group Holdings plc (Berkeley) commissioned Ernst & Young LLP (Ernst & Young) to perform an Economic Impact Assessment of Berkeley’s contribution to the UK economy over the financial years 2008-2012.1 This report presents the results of the Economic Impact Assessment undertaken by Ernst & Young. The analysis is based on Berkeley’s own data, both published and internal, and on publicly available statistics.

Berkeley’s contributions to UK plc 2012 Contribution to the UK economy Total contribution to Economic Activity in 2012 Total contribution to GDP in 2012

£2.6bn £1bn

Employment Jobs directly or indirectly supported in 2012 Total number of jobs created per home built

16,000 4.5

2008-2012 Tax generation Total UK tax contribution between 2008 and 2012

£1.1bn

International investment Amount of international investment attracted to the UK between 2008 and 2012

£1.9bn

Homes built Number of new homes built in the last five years Affordable homes provided (commitments 2008-2012) Change in number of homes built 2008-2012

13,000 7,000 +13% (UK -35%)

Development benefits Contribution to infrastructure, education, healthcare and communities through S106 (commitments 2008‑2012)

£245m

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

1

Background to the study

The Berkeley Group Holdings plc Established in 1976 with the founding of Berkeley Homes in Weybridge, Surrey, in less than four decades The Berkeley Group Holdings plc (“Berkeley”) has become one of the most prominent and successful developers in the UK. 35

Today Berkeley is a FTSE 250 company with a market capitalisation of approximately £2bn2. Its six divisions: Berkeley Homes, St George, St James, Berkeley First, Berkeley Commercial and the joint venture, St Edward, generate over £1bn in annual revenues3.

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6 10 40

London

Berkeley is recognised as a leader in the regeneration of complex brownfield sites and the creation of sustainable communities. Its portfolio reflects the aspirations of a broad range of home buyers, encompassing medium to large-scale developments in towns, cities and the countryside, estate regeneration projects, town centre developments, riverside apartments, refurbished historic buildings and urban loft spaces as well as student accommodation and senior living homes.

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7 30 14 1 11 16 8 26 14 1 2 5 6 13 23 18 19 13 38 25 4 29 8 3 15 5 33 2 9 12 21 36 28

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At the time this report was prepared, Berkeley had 40 active development sites in London, a further 29 in the South East of England and another 32 sites acquired for future development.

32

Berkeley’s ambition is to be one of the most successful and sustainable businesses in Britain. This is guided by its ten-year strategic framework, “Vision2020”, which focuses on four key impact areas: ►► The Customer Experience

London

►► Building Greener Homes

London under construction

►► Delivering Sustainable Communities

1

►► Running a Sustainable Business

2

Testament to Berkeley’s success is the number of awards the company has received over the years, including “Britain’s Most Admired Company”, twelve “What House?” Awards in 2011 and The Queen’s Award for Sustainability.

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

375 Kensington High Street Battersea Reach Beaufort Park, Hendon Blackheath Road, Deptford Camberwell Grove Carmelite, Finchley* Caspian Wharf, Bow Chelsea Creek / Imperial Wharf Costume Store, Acton Dickens Yard, Ealing Ebury Square, Belgravia Emerald Square, Roehampton Fulham Reach, Hammersmith Goodmans Fields, Aldgate Griffon Studios, Clapham Grosvenor Waterside Napier, Acton Kew Bridge Road Kew Bridge West, Brentford Kidbrooke Village

* Sites purchased during financial year 2012

2

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

Langham Square, Putney Lime Grove Mews, Hammersmith Marine Wharf,Deptford Marryat Place, Wimbledon* ONESE 8, Deptford O ne Tower Bridge Parkwest, West Drayton Queen Mary’s Place, Roehampton Riverlight, Battersea Roman House, City of London Royal Arsenal Riverside Saffron Square, Croydon St Catherine’s Place, New Cross St James Park Mews, Surbiton Stanmore Place Terrace Yard, Richmond The Boatyard, Kingston The Tower, One St George Wharf Wimbledon Hill Park Woodberry Park

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CAMBRIDGESHIRE 4

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WEST SUSSEX 14 21

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South East London sites in planning 190 Strand, City of London 2 Abell & Cleland House, Westminster 3 CarnwathRoad, Fulham 4 City Forum, City of London * 5 EastburyHouse, Albert Embankment* 6 Hampton House, Albert Embankment* 7 NEC House, Acton* 8 O ne Blackfriars, Southwark* 9 Queen’s Rise, Richmond* 10 Section House, Finchley* 11 Sir Alexander Close, Acton 12 Twickenham Sorting O ffice* 1

Warwick Road, Kensington (Telereal) 14 Warwick Road, Kensington (Homebase) 13

Out of London under construction 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Basingstoke Beaconsfield Billingshurst Cambridge Canterbury Cheltenham Cirencester Eastbourne Effingham Esher Farnham Common Fleet (2 sites) Gillingham Gosport Guildford

16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27

High Wycombe Holborough Horsham North Bersted O xford (2 sites) Portsmouth Reading Worcester Sevenoaks St Albans Wantage Woodstock

Out of London sites in planning Amersham* Ascot (2 sites) 3 Beaconsfield 4 Caterham* 5 Cheltenham* 6 Claygate 7 Cobham 8 Gerrards Cross (2 sites)* 9 Maidenhead* 10 O xshott* 11 Reigate 12 Shalford* 1 2

Tadworth (2 sites)* Tunbridge Wells* 15 Wantage 13 14

* Sites purchased during financial year 2012

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

3

112,000

the annual deficit of housing delivery compared to new household formation in England at 2012 home building rates

The housing market in England Supply and demand

Economic impact of housing development

The UK has undergone significant population growth and demographic changes over the last 10 years, which has led to increased demand for new homes.

The Government’s growth agenda8 recognises that housing delivery is important not only in its own right but also because of the contribution it makes to economic growth and to reducing unemployment, particularly for the young and unskilled workforce.

The supply of new homes has failed to match such growth in demand. On the contrary, the chronic undersupply of new housing has severely worsened since the economic downturn in 2007. The Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) estimates that the number of new households in the UK will grow by 232,000 every year for the next 20 years4 but fewer than 120,000 homes were built last year.5 At the current pace of construction the number of new homes built is expected to fall short of the number of new households formed in England by around 112,000 each year. This shortage of new homes can be partly attributable to planning delays, which can cost the economy up to £3bn per year according to estimates from The National Housing and Planning Advice Unit.6 The economic recession and the consequent tightening of the credit market have proven particularly challenging for the industry, which is reliant on access to credit for developers to build new homes. This has worsened the mismatch between demand and supply of new homes. Home buyers are also facing difficulties in gaining access to credit. As a consequence, residential property transactions reached a historic post-war low of 736,000 in England in 2009 after the crisis hit in 2008, increasing slightly to 762,000 in 2011.7 This is a contraction of almost 50% compared to the 1.4m transactions completed in England in 2006.

4

House building has a significant economic impact: ►► Before the economic downturn in 2008, house building accounted for 335,000 jobs and 1.5% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), some £22bn when using 2011 GDP as a reference. ►► We have calculated that, for every additional job created in the construction industry a further 1.53 jobs are created in the wider economy. We therefore estimate that, before the crisis, house building supported approximately 850,000 jobs across the UK. ►► House building is also a key source of funding for Central Government and Local Authorities. Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) generates over £6bn a year9 and Council Tax is estimated to generate £23bn.10 ►► Based on these figures, it can be inferred that if the gap between supply and demand of new homes were to be bridged, the additional 112,000 homes built in the UK could potentially create 220,000 jobs in the economy and contribute £14bn to GDP. The provision of housing also promotes labour mobility and leads to better matching of workers with employment opportunities, thereby increasing the overall efficiency of the economy.

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

850,000

the number of jobs directly or indirectly supported by new home building in the UK before the crisis

Berkeley’s performance Between 2008 and 2012 Berkeley has: ►► Delivered 13,000 homes ►► Signed Section 106 agreements to provide over 1.6m ft2 of commercial space11 ►► Committed to delivering over £245m worth of investment in public infrastructure through Section 106 agreements12 ►► Committed to delivering 83 acres of public realm space ►► Signed commitments to deliver over 7,000 affordable homes ►► C ► ompleted, on average, 96% of dwellings on brownfield land ►► B ► uilt, on average, 95% of sites within 500 metres of a transport node Despite difficult economic conditions, Berkeley has invested heavily in land and construction. Performance over the last three years has been strong, with the number of new homes delivered to the market more than doubling to 3,565 between 2009 and 2012. This represents 8% of all new homes built in London and the South East.13 Berkeley established the UK’s first Private Rental Fund with the Home and Communities Agency in 2010. This private rental initiative shows how the public and private sector can work together to mitigate challenges faced in the housing market. The fund is currently valued at £200m and consists of almost 900 homes across 27 Berkeley developments. The strategic importance of the Private Rental Sector to the UK has been explicitly recognised by the Government, in that it “fulfils a vital economic and social role, offering households choice and flexibility in meeting their housing needs, whether for the short or the long-term.”14 Chart 1: Homes delivered by year 120

4,000 3,500

100

Number of homes

80

2,500

60

2,000 1,500

40

Index (2008=100)

3,000

1,000 20

500 0

0 2008

2009

Berkeley number of homes

2010

2011 Berkeley Index

2012 UK Index

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

5

Case study – Gunwharf Quays

6

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

6 million

annual visitors to Gunwharf Quays

The £200m15 redevelopment of Gunwharf Quays has transformed a redundant Royal Naval dockyard into a thriving new community and visitor destination. Gunwharf now comprises 757 homes and, as a retail and leisure destination, attracts approximately six million visitors per year.

Over half of Gunwharf Quays is public space. The development hosts up to 50 events a year, including concerts, carnivals and themed days. Major tourist events have also been held at Gunwharf Quays, including a Golden Jubilee visit by HM The Queen, The Tall Ships Race and the EDS Atlantic Challenge Race.

Gunwharf was the main ordnance yard for the Royal Navy from its inception in the 17th Century until 1986 when it was closed and the site was made redundant. Portsmouth City Council issued a development brief in 1995 and the 32 acre site was acquired by Berkeley in 1997.

The development encourages visitors to arrive by means other than car by providing bicycle storage and a pedestrian walkway to the main bus and coach terminus. Additionally, funding given to the council has improved several road junctions and well-known accident hot-spots.

Construction began in 1999 and the first residents moved in during 2002. By 2008, the site had been transformed around a new marina with over 90 shops, 23 bars and restaurants, a cinema, a bowling complex, a hotel and office space. Retailers include Boots, Marks & Spencer, Barbour and Gap. The Spinnaker Tower, which rises 170 metres above sea level, has created a new landmark for Portsmouth.

Gunwharf contributed £1.9m of council tax19 to the public purse in 2012. The development has also helped Portsmouth gain Single Regeneration Budget (SRB) funding of £78m20 which has been used to deliver education, employment, youth business support, training, early years and community project benefits.

Gunwharf has also been the catalyst for significant regeneration and development in the Portsea and wider Portsmouth area, including the former Queen’s Street Car Park which is now 566 apartments, and a 22 storey high landmark tower. An independent report commissioned by the British Property Federation16 found that Gunwharf has delivered significant employment benefits to the local community: ►► Site preparation and delivery provided more than 500 full time jobs in construction at its peak, with much of the work going to local companies.17 ►► The completed development has generated in excess of 2,500 new jobs in the local area, including 1,650 direct jobs in retail, leisure and offices on the development itself and approximately 900 other indirect jobs in the local area. ►► 460 of these jobs were taken by unemployed people in the local area.18

Gunwharf Quays has received a number of awards, including the British Urban Regeneration Association (BURA) Award 2003 for Best Practice in Regeneration and the English Partnership Award for Partnership in Regeneration, recognising Berkeley’s partnership with Portsmouth City Council. Table 1: Gunwharf Quays’ facts and figures

Key statistics Number of acres regenerated Total investment

32 £200m

Number of homes built

757

Affordable homes

126

Retail space

235,000 ft2

Leisure space

217,000 ft2

Office Space

27,000 ft2

Jobs on site

1,650

Total jobs supported (on-site and off-site)

2,500

Source: Data on the Gunwharf Quays development provided by Berkeley and The College of Estate Management, Mixed Use Urban Regeneration at Brindleyplace, Birmingham and Gunwharf Quays, Portsmouth, 2003.

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

7

Berkeley’s economic impacts

Introduction

Direct, Indirect and Induced effect

Berkeley contributes directly to the UK’s GDP through the Gross Value Added (GVA) it produces; it creates jobs and contributes to public finances through taxes.

The full benefits Berkeley generates for the UK economy can be estimated by calculating the Direct, Indirect and Induced effects, as defined below:

In addition to this, Berkeley generates further demand for businesses throughout the UK through the supply chain and the wages paid to employees. This in turn creates additional GDP, supports jobs and contributes to the public purse through taxes.

►► The Direct Effect of Berkeley’s activity, i.e., its contribution to the UK’s Gross Domestic Product and the jobs it creates.

In the following sections we present our estimate of these effects. Our results are based on the methodology described in Appendix C.

►► The Indirect Effect arising from Berkeley’s demand for goods and services along the supply chain. ►► The Induced Effect of Berkeley’s and its suppliers’ employees spending a share of their income on the consumption of goods and services in the wider economy. Berkeley also generates significant contributions to the UK economy through inward investment, affordable housing provision and contributions towards a broad range of facilities and services for local communities.

375 Kensington High Street

8

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

£2.6bn

Berkeley’s contribution to economic activity in 2012

Contribution to the UK economy In 2012, Berkeley directly or indirectly supported over £2.6bn of economic activity in the UK; a 25% increase over the previous year.

Table 3 shows the evolution of Berkeley’s contribution to GDP over the last five years.

Table 2: Contribution to Economic Activity in (£m), by year

Table 3: Contribution to Gross Domestic Product (£m), by year

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Total

2,379

1,418

1,866

2,091

2,613

Total

906

481

713

906

1,046

Direct

1,018

645

637

1,027

1,236

Direct

327

151

185

450

457

Indirect

1,044

583

951

808

1,046

Indirect

441

247

406

344

444

Induced

317

190

278

256

331

Induced

138

83

122

112

145

This translates into a contribution to Gross Domestic Product worth over £1bn; a 16% increase over 2011 which was a previous record year for Berkeley (£906m). This is particularly impressive considering that over the same period the UK’s GDP fell by over half a percentage point (-0.51%21). The largest share is accounted for by Berkeley’s direct contribution to GDP, which in 2012 was £457m; 44% of the total. An additional £444m came from the Gross Value Added generated by Berkeley’s contractors and the supply chain (42%), and a further £145m (14%) from the additional induced consumption of employees.

Chart 2: Contribution to Gross Domestic Product 1,200 1,000 800 £ million

Source: Ernst & Young’s calculations based on Annual Reports 2008-2012 published by the Berkeley Group Holdings plc and data on purchases and other operational costs provided by Berkeley.

Induced

600

Indirect Direct

400 200 0

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source: Ernst & Young’s calculations based on Annual Reports 2008-2012 published by the Berkeley Group Holdings plc and data on purchases and other operational costs provided by Berkeley.

Contribution to GDP only tells part of the story. Berkeley’s land purchases – over £1.3 billion over the last five years – inject cash that can be reinvested back into the UK economy. Approximately £200m of this land was acquired from the public sector. This not only helps to support the Government’s objective of delivering new homes on surplus public land but also generates crucial funding for the public purse at a time of fiscal consolidation and budgetary constraints.

Cafe Rouge, Gunwharf Quays

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

9

4.5

total number of jobs created per home built

Contribution to employment Berkeley directly or indirectly supported approximately 16,000 jobs in the UK (2012). The majority of jobs (8,668 in 2012, 54% of the total) are directly dependent on Berkeley’s activity, being either its own employees (1,221)22 or contractors’ employees working on Berkeley’s construction sites (7,447).23 The remaining 46% is split between the rest of Berkeley’s supply chain (4,431) and the wider economy (2,854).24

►► The graduate scheme currently employs 86 recent graduates with relevant qualifications in quantity surveying, construction, town planning, architecture, marketing, customer services, health and safety, or related disciplines. ►► Berkeley provided 115 full time apprenticeships during 2012.

Chart 3: Contribution to employment

►► The Berkeley Sales Academy was formed in 2012, to provide structured training for junior sales consultants.

18,000 16,000 Number of jobs

Berkeley offers a range of employment opportunities across the whole construction and development spectrum. It also recognises the importance that training schemes provide for getting young people in particular into work.

14,000 12,000 Induced

10,000

Other Indirect

8,000

Contractors

6,000

Direct

4,000 2,000 0

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source: Ernst & Young’s calculations based on employment records provided by Berkeley and data on purchases and other operational costs provided by Berkeley.

Typical jobs created range from architects to construction workers and from structural engineers to plumbers. Table 4: Number of new jobs created by Berkeley per home built

Number of new jobs Jobs at Berkeley

0.3

Contractors’ jobs on site

2.1

Jobs along the supply chain

1.2

Induced jobs supported by employees’ additional consumption

0.8

Total number of new jobs created

4.5

Note: Differences in totals due to rounding. Source: Ernst & Young’s calculations based on employment records provided by Berkeley and data on purchases and other operational costs provided by Berkeley.

10

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

Royal Arsenal Riverside

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

11

Case study – Chelsea Bridge Wharf

12

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

£587m

the economic activity generated through the construction of Chelsea Bridge Wharf

Chelsea Bridge Wharf is a mixed use brownfield regeneration scheme in central London. It comprises 1,128 homes, 330 (29%) of which are affordable housing, 186,000 ft2 of commercial space, including a four-star hotel and spa, offices, retail and health and leisure facilities as well as 2.6 acres of public space. The site is located on the south bank of the Thames adjacent to Chelsea Bridge. Originally warehousing, the site had been used as a car pound for the last 30 years before Berkeley purchased it in 2000 with an initial investment of £54m.25 Table 5: Chelsea Bridge Wharf facts and figures

Key statistics Total investment Number of homes built

£252m 1,128

Affordable homes

330

Commercial space

186,000 ft2

Total amount of economic activity generated Multiplier effect of £1 invested by Berkeley Additional Gross Value Added Total jobs supported (on-site and off-site)

£587m 2.33

Table 6: Breakdown of additional economic activity across the supply chain

Sector

Economic activity (£m)

% of total

Construction

193

Manufacturing

263

45%

Services

119

20%

Real Estate Total

33%

12

2%

587

100%

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on data on purchases provided by Berkeley.

We estimate that the development generated a total of £214m in additional Gross Value Added in the UK economy, supporting 3,415 jobs.

Geographic spread of benefits The map below shows the geographic distribution of Berkeley’s direct investment on Chelsea Bridge Wharf. Although the scheme is in central London, the benefits of its development were felt across the UK. Map 1: Geographic distribution of direct investment on Chelsea Bridge Wharf

£214m 3,415

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on data on purchases provided by Berkeley.

The supply chain

Scotland

Berkeley invested approximately £252m in the regeneration of Chelsea Bridge Wharf, mainly on construction activities and intermediate manufacturing goods. By mapping the indirect and induced effect of Berkeley’s spend on Chelsea Bridge Wharf, we estimate that the total amount of economic activity generated throughout the UK as a direct consequence of the project has been £587m.

Northern Ireland

East Midlands West Midlands

This means that for every £1 invested by Berkeley on the regeneration of Chelsea Bridge Wharf, £2.33 worth of economic activity was created across the UK. This is more than 4% larger than the average multiplier effect for all UK sectors.26 Table 6 shows the industry split of the additional economic activity generated by the regeneration project at Chelsea Bridge Wharf. 45% (£263m) was on manufacturing goods (e.g., building materials, furnishings); approximately one third (£193m) on construction activities (e.g., building and construction work); with the remaining £131m on services. An additional £335m worth of economic activity is estimated to have been generated throughout the UK through the indirect and induced effect of Berkeley’s investment in Chelsea Bridge Wharf.

North West

East

London South East Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on data on purchases provided by Berkeley.

For example, a small enterprise, Red Architectural Ltd, in the North West of England, supplied over 96% of the brick and block work for the construction of Chelsea Bridge Wharf, worth a total of almost £20m; the majority of carpets and external cladding were supplied by companies in the West Midlands; staircases and concrete frames by companies in the East of England; plumbing and electrical installation by a small company in the East Midlands.

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

13

£1.1bn

Berkeley’s direct and indirect contribution to HMT between 2008 and 2012

Contribution to public finances

Financial benefits to local authorities

Over the last five years Berkeley’s activity, directly or indirectly, has contributed almost £1bn, or an average of £195m per year, to Her Majesty’s Treasury (HMT) (£977m). Table 7: Contribution to Treasury (£m)

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Total

220

154

165

189

248

977

Corporation Tax

74

44

47

56

75

296

Employee PAYE

68

54

55

57

79

312

Total

National Insurance

68

52

53

61

82

316

SDLT

10

4

10

15

13

53

Annual average

195.4

We estimate that residents of Berkeley developments that were delivered between 2008 and 2012 have paid over £41m in Council Tax, an average of £8m per year. £25m of this was in London (61%), £15m in the South East (37%), and the remaining £1m split between the West Midlands and the East of England. Table 9: Total Council Tax payments from 2007/08 to 2011/12 (£)

Total Annual Council Tax payments (£m) London

25

South East

15

Other

1

Total

41

Annual Average

Note: Differences in totals due to rounding. Source: Ernst & Young’s calculations based on Annual Reports 2008-2012 published by the Berkeley Group Holdings plc and data on purchases other operational costs and tax returns provided by Berkeley

If SDLT paid by residents over the same period is added then the total contribution to HMT resulting from Berkeley’s activity can be estimated to reach almost £1.1bn. Table 8: SDLT paid by Berkeley residents (£m)

Total

Berkeley’s developments have also generated significant revenues for local authorities through council tax and the New Homes Bonus.

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Total

9

17

24

25

34

109

Annual average

21.8

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on data provided by Berkeley.

8.2

Source: Ernst & Young’s calculations based on Council Tax Bands and new homes delivery data provided by Berkeley.

The Government introduced the New Homes Bonus scheme in February 2011 as an incentive to increase housing delivery. For each new home delivered from October 2010 the council receives the national average council tax for six years. Affordable homes get a further £350 each year.27 We estimate that Berkeley’s developments have generated £32m for local authorities from the New Homes Bonus since the scheme began. Table 10: Total value of New Homes Bonus to councils

New Homes Bonus (£m) London

17

South East

13

Other

2

Total

32

Source: Ernst & Young’s calculations based on NHB and new homes delivery data provided by Berkeley.

14

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

£1.9bn

the amount of international investment attracted to the UK by Berkeley

Inward investment to the UK Berkeley also contributes to the UK economy through the sale of its homes to international buyers. Over the period 2008-2012 Berkeley’s international sales have amounted to £1.9bn or £374m per year on average. This equates to nearly £2bn of new capital entering the UK directly through Berkeley’s activity. By apportioning international sales to Berkeley’s total sales, we estimate that international sales have: ►► Contributed £388m to HMT between 2008 and 2012 ►► Generated £16m for local authorities through Council Tax between 2008 and 2012 ►► Supported 6,300 UK jobs in 2012 ►► Contributed £97m to S106 interventions between 2008 and 2012 (commitments) ►► Funded the provision of almost 2,800 affordable homes between 2008 and 2012 (commitments) International investment can often be the difference that makes development viable by supporting cash flow early on. It underpins the provision of public amenities and affordable housing, creates jobs and generates significant revenue for the Exchequer.

Construction of Crossrail

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

15

£49 million

Berkeley’s annual S106 contributions (commitments, average 2008-2012)

Development benefits Beyond the benefit of creating new homes, offices and retail space, Berkeley developments make significant contributions to the UK’s affordable housing provision and other planning gain. Berkeley has funded a broad range of facilities and services, including healthcare, sports and leisure facilities, transport improvements and employment and training, which mitigate the impacts of their developments and provide public spaces, amenities and a range of services to local communities. Over the last five financial years, Berkeley has made S106 contributions of £245m; an average of £49m each year. Examples of Berkeley’s contributions include the Crossrail station box at Royal Arsenal and Imperial Wharf train station. Berkeley’s S106 commitments include a total contribution of £47m to education and training on 50 developments; an average of £9m each year. Table 11: Section 106 Contributions by type and region, commitments signed between 2007/08 – 2011/12

Region

London South East

Education (£m)

Transport and highway improvements (£m)

Contributions to offsite affordable Public art housing (£m) (£m)

Sports, community, healthcare and other (£m)

Total (£m)

38

38

11

1

108

196

3

16

-

-

23

42

Other

7

-

-

1

-

8

Total

47

54

11

2

131

245

Annual average

9.4

10.8

2.2

0.4

26.2

49

Imperial Wharf

Note: Differences in totals due to rounding. Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on Section 106 Commitments data provided by Berkeley.

Beaufort Park

16

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

7,000

the number of affordable homes provided by Berkeley (commitments, 2008-2012)

Over the same period Berkeley has also provided 83 acres of public space, an average of 16.6 acres a year, including a seven acre park at Imperial Wharf, Thames riverside walkways and the restoration of gardens and pleasure grounds at Roehampton House, a Grade I listed building. Table 12: Public Realm by Region, commitments signed between 2007/08 – 2011/12

Region

Public Realm (Acres)

London

38

South East

45

Other

-

Total

83

Annual average

16.6

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on Section 106 Commitments data provided by Berkeley. Public Realm acres for “Other” equal to 0.1.

Affordable housing

Kidbrooke Village

Berkeley is a major contributor to affordable housing provision in London and the South East. Over the last five financial years, Berkeley has signed over 7,000 commitments to provide affordable homes; an average of over 1,400 commitments per year. These include social rent, shared equity, shared ownership and extra care homes for the elderly. Berkeley accounted for approximately 16% of affordable housing commitments in London between 2008 and 2010. This rose to 23% in 2011.28 Table 13: Affordable Homes by type and region, commitments signed between 2007/08 – 2011/2012

Region

Affordable shared ownership

London South East Other Total Annual average

Discounted market sale

Extra care

Other affordable

Total

2,210

604

250

2,128

5,192

284

131

138

1,028

1,581

-

99

137

-

236

2,494

834

525

3,156

7,009

499

167

105

631

1,402

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on Section 106 Commitments data provided by Berkeley.

Local expenditure In addition to the direct benefits to local communities described in the previous sections, further benefits derive from the consumption of goods and services by the residents and tenants on Berkeley’s developments, supporting business in the local area.

Imperial Wharf

We estimate that between 2008 and 2012, the additional local spend generated by Berkeley residents was £198m. This is equivalent to 768 additional full time jobs created in their local communities.29

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

17

1,027

the total number of senior living homes under development by Berkeley

Senior living homes Senior living developments provide homes for older adults looking to live in an environment with residents of a similar age. A number of communal facilities are available on site, such as restaurants, activities rooms and hairdressers. Table 14: Senior living homes

Senior living development Complete

Under construction

Number of senior living homes

Olive House, Imperial Wharf

55

Kingshill, Cirencester

60

Victory Pier, Gillingham

60

Kidbrooke, Greenwich

170

Royal Arsenal Riverside, Woolwich

165

King Harry Lane, St Albans

28

Marine Wharf, Lewisham

78

Delancey, Cheltenham

49

Yarnton, Oxfordshire

52

Planning permission

195 Warwick Road, Kensington

89

In planning

Kent & Sussex Hospital, Tunbridge Wells

43

Bersted Park, North Bersted

71

West of Horsham, West Sussex Total

107 1,027

Source: Berkeley Group Evidence to the All Party Parliamentary Group on Housing and Care for Older People, Tony Pidgley, October 2012.

Dial Arch, Woolwich Arsenal

18

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

Jazz Festival, Imperial Wharf

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

19

4.68

the average decrease in the deprivation index of the five areas with Berkeley developments considered (IMD 2007-2010)

Analysis of Indices of Multiple Deprivation We have compared the Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) of five areas in which Berkeley developments have been recently completed (or partly completed), to illustrate the positive effects that residential and mixed use developments have on communities. As shown in the chart below, all five areas where Berkeley developments are present have outperformed their neighbouring wards in the most recent survey period (2007‑2010). The improvement is particularly evident for those areas where deprivation was more pervasive (Haringey, Ealing and Greenwich). The IMD measures social and economic deprivation, therefore, a negative change represents an improvement in an area’s conditions. Indices of Multiple Deprivation Analysis

4.0 2.2

2.0 0.6 0.0

-0.1

-2.0 -4.0

-1.8

-1.1

1.0

-0.6 Ward Borough

-4.2

-6.0 -8.0 -8.9

-10.0 -12.0

-10.3 Berkeley Bromyard Avenue, Acton

Berkeley Royal Arsenal Riverside, Woolwich

St George Imperial Wharf, Fulham

St James New River Village, Hornsey

Oxford Waterways, Lucy Foundry

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on: DCLG, English indices of deprivation 2007 and 2010.

The IMD developed by the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) is a composite measure combining a number of indicators that cover a range of economic, social and housing issues, into a single score. This allows areas to be ranked relative to each other according to their level of deprivation. The IMD has been produced for the 32,482 Lower Super Output Areas in England for the years 2004, 2007 and 2010. Street Elite Festival, Wandsworth

20

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

£2 million

the amount invested by the Berkeley Foundation in over 40 charities since March 2011

The Berkeley Foundation The Berkeley Foundation was launched in March 2011. It works to improve the lives of young people and their communities in London and the South East of England. To date, the Foundation has invested over £2m30 in more than 40 separate charities. Approximately 70% of funding from The Berkeley Foundation has been committed through grants or strategic partnerships, with 21% to designated charities and 8% to sponsorship. Funding distribution

8% Grants and donations 35%

Designated charities Strategic partnerships Sponsorships

36%

21%

Two strategic partnerships were launched in 2011. The first was with The Lord’s Taverners, developing a sports-based training for work programme called Street Elite. The second was with Shelter, supporting a comprehensive range of housing advice services for young people. So far, the Berkeley Foundation has helped Shelter support 65,34831 people through a telephone helpline, individual advice face to face from an expert housing advisor and web-based services. The Street Elite programme worked with a cohort of 24 disengaged young people who were not in education, employment or training (NEET) during its first year. Nineteen of these completed the programme and are now in work or training, at a unit cost of £4,41132 per person. For comparison, data from the New Economics Foundation33 suggests that jailing one young offender costs the UK taxpayer up to £140,000 a year. Street Elite is now doubling in size and working with 48 young people in the second year of the programme. A report by The Work Foundation and The Private Equity Foundation34 found that a young NEET costs the economy £56,000 over the course of their lifetime. Therefore, by training these young people, the Berkeley Foundation could save the economy £2.7m at a cost of only £212,000. In total, 15% of all employees have signed up to Give As You Earn, helping Berkeley achieve the gold Payroll Giving Quality Mark Award, and 60% of employees invested time or money in the Berkeley Foundation during its first year of operation.

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

21

Case study – Royal Arsenal Riverside

22

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

12,400

the total number of jobs supported by the Royal Arsenal Riverside development

Royal Arsenal Riverside in Woolwich is one of London’s largest brownfield regeneration sites. Formerly used for the manufacture of military equipment by the Ministry of Defence, the site was acquired by Berkeley in 2001 from the London Borough of Greenwich and the London Development Agency for a total investment of £43 million. Development of Royal Arsenal will take up to 30 years and £1bn of investment to complete. To date, 1,988 homes have been delivered, 610 (31%) of which are affordable homes, and 21 listed buildings have been refurbished. The site also comprises 3.5 acres of public space and 300,000ft2 of commercial space, including a gym, hotel, shops, a museum, a pub and cafes. The development includes a district heating network supplied by a low-carbon combined heat and power plant.

Table 16: Royal Arsenal Riverside economic benefits

Contributions to the UK Economy Total economic activity generated

£2bn

Contribution to GDP

£780m

Total jobs supported (on-site and off-site)

12,400

Total council tax payments from 2010 to 2012

£2.4m

Source: Royal Arsenal Riverside, SE18 document from Berkeley, Ernst & Young’s analysis based on data provided by Berkeley.

Although the scheme is located in London, the benefits of its development are felt across the UK. Table 15: Geographic spread of benefits

Table 15: Royal Arsenal Riverside facts and figures

Key statistics Size of regenerated area Total investment for the entire scheme

76 acres £878m

Total number of new homes when complete

4,960

Total number of Affordable homes when complete

1,238

Total number of Extra Care homes when complete

165

Commercial space Public park

300,000 ft2

Scotland

Northern Ireland

North West

3.5 acres

Source: Royal Arsenal Riverside, SE18 document from Berkeley, Ernst & Young’s analysis based on data provided by Berkeley.

Wales

Royal Arsenal is a good example of the potential economic benefits delivered through the construction of housing developments. We have estimated that the £878m investment in the development could generate almost £2bn worth of economic activity throughout the UK. This means that for every £1 invested by Berkeley £2.22 worth of economic activity is created.

East West Midlands Midlands

East

London South East

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on data on purchases provided by Berkeley.

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

23

£15.4m

the amount of S106 contributions from the Royal Arsenal Riverside development (commitments)

The regeneration of Royal Arsenal has contributed a wide range of new facilities and services to the local community through S106 commitments worth over £15.4m. Development benefits to the local community include: ►► A £2.5 million financial contribution to support primary school places and a local library ►► £700k of healthcare contributions and the provision of a new local health centre ►► Improvement works to the local road system ►► The provision of a Thames riverside pier to link Woolwich to the Thames Clipper Boat service ►► The funding and construction of a new Crossrail station box which will be delivered by mid‑2013 Chart 4: Royal Arsenal Riverside Section 106 contributions by type (commitments)

Sports, community, healthcare and other: £3.2m

Public Art: £0.1m

Education: £ 2.8m

Transport and highway improvements: £3.2m Miscellaneous S106 contributions: £6m

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on Section 106 Commitments data provided by Berkeley.

The Ward of Greenwich has also experienced a significant improvement as measured by the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) – as illustrated in Chart 5. A negative change in the IMD represents a decrease in the level of deprivation in an area. Chart 5: Indices of Multiple Deprivation Analysis 4 2.53 2 0

IMD Change

2 4

-1.8

-2.5

Borough Ward

6 8 10 -10.2 12 2004 -07

2007 -10

Source: Ernst & Young’s analysis based on: DCLG, English indices of deprivation 2007 and 2010.

24

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

Royal Arsenal

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

25

Final remarks

“There’s only one way out of this housing crisis: we have to build our way out” Nick Clegg, NHBC’s Annual Lunch 2012

The housing sector plays a critical role in the growth of the UK economy through its contribution to economic output, job creation and the generation of significant tax proceeds. However, the housing market is currently facing both cyclical and structural challenges. The recent slump in housing activity accounted for around a third of the overall 6% drop in GDP over the 2008-09 recession35 and housing transactions are expected to fall to their lowest levels this autumn since 1990.36 At the same time, the chronic undersupply of new housing creates a long-term structural problem. The mismatch between supply and demand has severely worsened since the economic downturn in 2007 and has been a major factor in the significant volatility of housing prices which, in turn, has implications for the long-term affordability of housing in the UK. As a consequence, the average age of first time buyers increased from 33 to 36 years old between 2005 and 2009.37 This is particularly important in London where more than half of all households now live in rented accommodation. The cost of privately renting a home has risen by 37% in the past five years, and is set to increase a further 35% over the next six years.38 The shortage of homes and rising rents also has implications for public finances with the annual Housing Benefit bill reaching £23bn in 2012.39 The Government’s growth agenda recognises that housing delivery is important not only in its own right but also because of the contribution it makes to economic growth and to reducing unemployment, particularly for the young and unskilled workforce. Moreover, as it promotes labour mobility and ensures a better matching of workers with employment opportunities, it increases the overall efficiency of the economy.

26

Berkeley, through the provision of new homes, can play a significant role in supporting the nation’s growth agenda. Berkeley delivered 3,565 homes in 2012, representing 8% of all new homes built in London and the South East of England. It directly or indirectly supported over £2.6bn of economic activity in the UK in 2012, which translates into a contribution to Gross Domestic Product worth over £1bn and the creation of 16,000 jobs. The delivery of new homes provides significant economic benefits to local communities. Over the last five financial years Berkeley has made significant contributions to local communities through Section 106 commitments. These include the delivery of over 7,000 affordable homes and £245m of investment in public infrastructure, education and community facilities and services. Moreover, its residents can be estimated to have spent almost £200m in their local communities over the same period, supporting almost 800 local jobs. International investment underpins the provision of these benefits and is often the driver that makes a development viable. Berkeley is a major attractor of inward investment to the UK. Over the period 2008-2012, Berkeley’s international sales have amounted to almost £2bn. These alone have funded the provision of 2,800 affordable homes and of £78m worth of investment in local communities (S106). They also contribute £279m per annum to the Exchequer; and support over 3,500 UK jobs (2012).

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

Appendices

Imperial Wharf

Appendix A

Timeline

Year

Event

1976

Berkeley Homes is established in Weybridge, Surrey by Tony Pidgley and Jim Farrer

1984

Berkeley lists on the LSE

1985

St George Plc is established as a Joint Venture between Berkeley and Speyhawk

1996

St James Homes is established as a Joint Venture between Thames Water and Berkeley

2005

Berkeley disposes of Crosby Homes division to focus on its core London and the South East of England markets

2006

St Edward Homes established as a Joint Venture with the Prudential plc

2008

The Berkeley Group is granted The Queen’s Award for Enterprise: Sustainable Development

2010

Berkeley launches Vision2020, a plan for the business to become one of Britain’s most successful and sustainable companies by 2020. Berkeley establishes the UK’s first Private Rental Fund with the Homes and Communities Agency

2011

Berkeley is voted Britain’s Most Admired Company 2011 The Berkeley Foundation is launched to improve the lives of young people and their communities in London and the South-East of England

2012

28

Berkeley awarded “Large House builder of the Year” at the inaugural RESI Awards and ranked Britain’s most sustainable major house builder by the Next Generation benchmark for the seventh consecutive year

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

Appendix B

Glossary

Affordable Housing: includes social rented and intermediate housing, provided to specified eligible households whose needs are not met by the market1. Give As You Earn (G.A.Y.E): is a scheme that enables anyone receiving pay that is subject to PAYE deductions, to donate to any charity or religious organisation from their gross pay. Payments are deducted from a donor’s pay before tax is deducted. This means that employees are given tax relief on their donation immediately, at their highest rate of tax2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): provides a measure of the total economic activity in a country. It can be measured using income, expenditure or output3. GDP is often referred to as one of the main ‘summary indicators’ of economic activity and references to ‘growth in the economy’ invariably refer to the growth in GDP during the latest quarter4. Gross Value Added (GVA): is a measure of the value of goods and services produced in the economy and can be defined as outputs less the cost of raw materials and other inputs used up in production (intermediate consumption), i.e., the value added by any unit engaged in production. This is calculated gross of any deductions for depreciation or consumption of fixed capital.5 Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD): a composite measure combining a number of indicators that cover a range of economic, social and housing issues into a single score6. Lower Super Output Area (LSOA): is a small geographic area in England and Wales. It is designed to improve the reporting of small area statistics and there is a LSOA for each postcode in England and Wales.7 Not in education, employment or training (NEET): a young person who has left full time education and is not working or training. New Homes Bonus (NHB): is a grant to local councils for increasing the number of homes and their use. It is paid each year for six years and is based on the amount of extra Council Tax raised for new build homes, conversions and long-term empty homes brought back into use. There is also an extra payment for providing affordable homes8. S106 (Section 106): legally binding agreements under the Planning Act, containing obligations either in cash or kind, to undertake works, provide affordable housing or provide additional funding for services as part of a developer’s planning obligations Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT): is a tax payable on the purchase or transfer of property or land in the UK where the amount paid is above a certain threshold9. Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP): the Department of Energy and Climate Change’s (DECC) methodology for assessing and comparing the energy and environmental performance of dwellings. Its purpose is to provide accurate and reliable assessments of dwelling energy performances that are needed to underpin energy and environmental policy initiatives10.

1

CLG Planning Policy Statement 3: Housing, Annex B, Definition of Affordable Housing, November 2006

2

HMRC: Payroll Giving: introduction for employers and pension providers

3

ONS Glossary

4

ONS: Gross Domestic Product Preliminary Estimate, Q3 2012, 25 October 2012

5

Ibid

6

Ibid

7

Data Dictionary, NHS

8

DCLG

9

HMRC

10 DECC

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

29

Appendix C

Economic Impact Assessment Methodology

Economic activities are related to one another within the wider economy through a dense network of supplier-customer relations, and thus produce effects that cross corporate and sector borders. Each unit of output produced in a specific sector of the economy requires the production of additional units of goods and services in other parts of the economy to fulfil its input requirements. Production of an additional unit of any good or service also requires the application of additional amounts of labour. Therefore, any increase in the demand for goods and services in the economy will trigger yet more demand for other goods and services, to fulfil the input needs described above. The amount of labour as well as the quantity and type of goods and services necessary to produce an additional unit of output is industry-specific and depends on the technology used. The Input-Output model developed by Wassily Leontiev describes such relationships and allows quantifying such additional demand for labour, goods and services through the computation of industry-specific multipliers. Using the Input-Output model as its main building block, the Economic Impact Assessment methodology allows quantifying a productive activity’s total contribution to the wider economy. Within this framework, three distinct effects can be identified and measured: 1. A Direct effect arising from the initial increase in economic activity, the GVA it generates and the additional jobs it creates. 2. An Indirect effect arising from the additional demand of goods and services along an industry’s supply chain. 3. An Induced effect arising as an effect of households spending a share of the additional income generated through the provision of labour on the consumption of goods and services. A comprehensive assessment of Berkeley’s contribution to the UK economy has been produced, using an Economic Impact Assessment methodology. The Economic Impact Assessment quantifies the effect of Berkeley’s activity on three key economic variables: 1. Gross Domestic Product 2. Employment 3. Government Revenue

30

Direct effect Berkeley’s productive activity contributes directly to the UK’s economic activity; it contributes to the Country’s GDP through the Gross Value Added it creates; and it supports jobs. Berkeley’s direct contribution to the UK’s Gross Domestic Product is the Gross Value Added it generates in the course of its productive activity. This has been calculated by subtracting the costs of goods and services purchased by Berkeley in the course of its activity from the total value of production, i.e., the sum of sales and the year-on-year difference in work-in-progress. The data for the computation of Berkeley’s GVA has been obtained from the Group’s Consolidated Income Statement and Financial Statements, integrated with Berkeley’s accounting and Human Resources records. Berkeley’s direct employment has been measured by headcount as reported in the Human Resources records. Berkeley’s direct contribution to Government Revenue has been calculated from Berkeley’s tax returns, and it includes Corporate Income Tax (CIT); employment-related taxes: Income Tax (IT) and National Insurance (NI); Stamp duty Land Tax (SDLT); Council Tax; and Business Rates.

Indirect effect Berkeley’s activity generates additional demand for the factors of production at the national level through the commissions it grants to its contractors and the domestic component of its supply chain. Through its purchase of goods and services, Berkeley supports the businesses that supply such goods and services. These businesses in turn generate additional economic output, Gross Value Added and employment; and in turn generate additional demand for goods and services along their supply chain. Berkeley’s purchases have been measured directly from the Group’s purchase records. These enter the calculation of Berkeley’s indirect output directly. The additional effect of the suppliers’ own supply chain has been estimated using Type I multipliers obtained from Input-Output tables. The indirect effect on GDP has been calculated through the application of GVA/Output ratios to the indirect Output thus obtained. GVA/Output ratios can be calculated at the industry level from official data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS).

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

The indirect effect on employment has been calculated in two steps: in the first place, contractors’ employment on Berkeley’s sites has been extracted directly from their records, as provided by Berkeley. The additional indirect employment creation has been calculated by applying a measure of apparent labour productivity (GVA/employee) to the residual part of indirect GVA, after subtracting the GVA generated by Berkeley’s contractors themselves. Apparent productivity of labour can be calculated from statistical data produced by ONS at the industry level. Total tax revenue has been calculated as the sum of Corporate Income Tax (CIT), employees’ Income Tax (IT) and National Insurance (NI). These have been estimated using data from Her Majesty’s Revenue & Customs (HMRC) and ONS.

Induced effect As household disposable income increases due to the increased provision of labour services, so does their spending, as determined by their Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC). Household spending in turn generates economic activity within the economy to satisfy the additional demand for goods and services. The increase in consumption of local goods resulting from the induced effect can be computed by multiplying the additional household disposable income by the Marginal Propensity to Consume, adjusted by the ratio of imports to local production at the product level. Marginal Propensity to Consume, import ratios and household consumption patterns will be obtained from the ONS.

Multiplier calculations Output multipliers are obtained from Input-Output tables, through a mathematical process known as Leontiev Inverse. Input-Output tables are readily available for the UK from the ONS. By applying industry GVA/Output ratios and apparent labour productivity measures to the Output multipliers thus obtained, industry level GVA multipliers and employment multipliers will be produced. GVA/Output ratios and apparent labour productivity measures are obtainable from statistical data published by the ONS.

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

31

Appendix D

References

1. Berkeley’s financial years run from April to March, hence the period covered in this report extends from April 2007 to March 2012 2. London Stock Exchange 3. The Berkeley Group Holdings plc consolidated income statement 2012 4. DCLG: Household projections 2008 to 2033, England. 26 November 2010 5. DCLG: House Building: June Quarter 2012, England. 16 August 2012 6. National Housing and Planning Advice Unit: Housing Supply and Planning Controls: the impact of planning control processing times on housing supply in England, February 2010 7. HMRC: Residential and non-residential UK Property Transactions Count (Monthly, Quarterly and Annual Tables) 8. HM Treasury & BIS: The Plan for Growth, March 2011 9. HMRC receipts 2012 10. DCLG: Receipts of council tax in England 2002-03 to 2011-12. 27 June 2012 11. Ernst & Young’s Analysis based on Section 106 data provided by Berkeley 12. Ibid 13. DCLG: House Building Tables: June Quarter 2012, England, the UK and constituent countries 14. Investment in the UK private rented sector, HM Treasury, February 2010 15. The College of Estate Management, Mixed Use Urban Regeneration at Brindleyplace, Birmingham and Gunwharf Quays, Portsmouth, 2003 16. Ibid 17. Ibid 18. Ibid 19. Ibid 20. The Partnership, Single Regeneration Budget Rounds 1-4 21. Seasonally adjusted annual GDP growth, Q1. Source: Office of National Statistics, quarterly National accounts 22. Analysis based on employment data provided by Berkeley 23. Ibid 24. Ernst & Young’s calculations based on ONS Supply-Use Tables 2010, July 2012 25. Analysis based on development cost data provided by Berkeley 26. Ernst & Young’s calculations based on ONS Supply-Use Tables 2010, July 2012 27. DCLG: New Homes Bonus: final scheme design, February 2011 28. London Plan Annual Monitoring Report 8, 2010-11, Mayor of London – March 2012 29. Ernst & Young’s calculations based on DCLG: English House Conditions Survey; ONS: Average weekly household expenditure; and unit delivery data provided by Berkeley 30. The Berkeley Foundation Annual Review 2012 31. Ernst & Young’s analysis based on Street Elite Budget data provided by Berkeley New 32. Ernst & Young’s analysis based on Street Elite Budget data provided by Berkeley 33. New Economics Foundation, Punishing costs: How locking up children is making Britain less safe, March 2010 34. The Work Foundation and the Private Equity Foundation: Off the map? The geography of NEETs, November 2011 35. CBI Unfreezing the housing market, November 2011 36. ITEM Club Autumn 2012 statement 37. HMT Investment in the UK private rented sector, February 2010 38. Home Truths, NHF, 22 October 2012 39. DWP budget 2012: Housing benefit expenditure data tables, 2012

32

The Berkeley Group Economic Impact Assessment

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